Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 3.978904 4.735450 5.577111 6.580057 7.739670 9.035213 10.589019
2025-10-12 2.971539 3.966607 5.186152 6.778889 8.790811 11.233292 14.406677
2025-10-19 2.386152 3.502011 4.981928 7.061478 9.876531 13.518747 18.544800
2025-10-26 1.903756 3.038918 4.652208 7.066571 10.531898 15.259667 22.114694
2025-11-02 1.491866 2.575611 4.217317 6.818980 10.754074 16.380189 24.897837
2025-11-09 1.188144 2.207474 3.845688 6.581263 10.919103 17.385224 27.554462
2025-11-16 1.002608 1.990655 3.665028 6.593452 11.432897 18.911709 31.063650
2025-11-23 0.855294 1.808843 3.507511 6.609324 11.934122 20.438404 34.670792
2025-11-30 0.724418 1.629994 3.323529 6.546960 12.284759 21.737906 38.002234
2025-12-07 0.586905 1.409224 3.026702 6.239472 12.173089 22.260116 40.102763
2025-12-14 0.502981 1.281130 2.882905 6.187653 12.492959 23.509927 43.472686
2025-12-21 0.434773 1.172819 2.760132 6.156025 12.837885 24.817626 47.018932
2025-12-28 0.410564 1.162966 2.842200 6.545540 14.021172 27.712201 53.557955
2026-01-04 0.372436 1.111955 2.829070 6.739863 14.849687 30.036339 59.262009
2026-01-11 0.344726 1.081344 2.855990 7.019911 15.870643 32.784555 65.907333
2026-01-18 0.302651 1.003258 2.761628 7.024652 16.333832 34.520135 70.812614
2026-01-25 0.252672 0.890851 2.566724 6.778272 16.249042 35.197019 73.784290
2026-02-01 0.211152 0.792003 2.387595 6.541789 16.155499 35.839431 76.718503
2026-02-08 0.186762 0.739407 2.317828 6.553905 16.599465 37.573996 81.857881
2026-02-15 0.165635 0.691818 2.253299 6.569690 17.050614 39.350353 87.182818
2026-02-22 0.144471 0.638210 2.162821 6.507657 17.315994 40.757545 91.851725
2026-03-01 0.118725 0.560166 1.987808 6.201809 16.979122 40.869202 93.895688
2026-03-08 0.103846 0.518333 1.912343 6.150268 17.241939 42.277728 98.686648